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Iran

The Perimeter Problem: How America’s Shows of Force Are Expanding Risk Instead of Control

The United States is not short of power. It is short of closure. From Iran to Venezuela, Greenland to the Red Sea, Washington’s reliance on visible coercion is widening its obligations faster than it secures compliance. The result is not imminent collapse or world war, but a growing mismatch between reach, endurance, and political outcome.

When Iran Went Dark, the Protests Lost Their Oxygen

When Iran shut down the internet in January, it did more than silence social media. It severed coordination, visibility, and momentum. This analysis explains how information control, Starlink disruption, and force on the ground stalled a protest movement many assumed was unstoppable.

Iran’s Su-35 Gamble: From MiG-29 Lifeline to High-Value Bet on Russian Arms

Leaked Russian export tables suggest Tehran has signed a €6 billion deal for 48 Su-35 fighters, with component deliveries set for 2024–26 and aircraft in 2026–28. Meanwhile, Moscow quietly rushed frontline MiG-29s to Iran as a stopgap. If real, the pact deepens Tehran’s strategic dependence on Russia — and complicates the balance of power across the Middle East.